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The Odds Nobody Tells You About

Jason Clark

Jason Clark

July 2026 · 4 min read

Most companies that try to grow into a new market do not make it.

That is not a warning. It is a fact. And the data behind it covers every type of business, every sector, every size of company. The pattern is consistent enough that it is worth sitting with before you commit capital, time, and reputation to the next market.

Here is what the numbers actually say.

One in five new businesses does not survive their first year. That figure comes from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and it has been consistent for decades. By year five, nearly half are gone. By year ten, 65% have closed. Only one in five businesses that open today will still be operating in 25 years.

That is the baseline for a business operating in a market it knows, selling to customers it understands, in a geography where it has existing relationships.

Now add the complexity of a new market.

Seventy percent of companies that attempt to enter a new market fail within the first two years. Not because the product is wrong. Because the commercial structure is not built for the market they are trying to reach. The relationships do not exist. The distribution channel is not in place. The buyers do not know the company exists. The team that drives results at home is not equipped to build results somewhere new.

The construction sector does not get a pass on this. Construction businesses have one of the highest first-year failure rates of any industry. Only 44% of construction companies make it to year five. The ones that fail are not the ones with bad tradespeople or poor workmanship. They are the ones that never built the commercial structure to find and win the right work consistently.

Manufacturing is the same story. Half of manufacturing startups fail. The most common cause is not technology or production. It is running out of commercial momentum before the product finds its market.

For companies launching a new product or service, the numbers are worse. Between 85 and 95% of new products fail within two years of launch. Not because the product does not work. Because the channel to move it does not exist or was never built properly. New products drive more than 25% of company revenues across most industries. The upside of getting the commercial structure right is enormous. Most companies get it wrong.

For B2B companies specifically, 75% of new product or service launches miss their revenue targets. The reason cited most often is not product quality. It is that the commercial strategy was treated as an afterthought.

And for service companies trying to reach new clients in new markets, 42% of failures trace back to one cause: no real market need was identified before the launch. The company built something and assumed buyers would arrive. They did not.

The common thread across every one of these statistics is the same.

It is not the product. It is never the product.

The companies that fail have products that work. They have people who are good at what they do. What they do not have is the commercial structure to take what works in one place and make it work somewhere new.

The commercial structure is the channel. The relationships. The specification pull. The distributor network. The outreach engine. The intelligence that tells you where the buyers are before you spend money going after them. That structure does not exist automatically. It has to be built deliberately, before the market needs it to produce, not after it fails to.

The companies that make it through these statistics are not the ones that got lucky. They are the ones that understood the commercial structure problem and built the right channel before they committed capital to the move.

Your product was never the problem. Your commercial structure was.

That is the problem we solve.

Jason Clark

Founder of InfraLaunchPro. Commercial expansion across manufacturing, construction, and services. We find the opportunity, design the channel, and build it until it produces.

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Jason Clark, founder of InfraLaunchPro

Written by

Jason Clark

Founder of InfraLaunchPro. Commercial expansion across manufacturing, construction, and services. We find the opportunity, design the channel, and build it until it produces.

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